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“An existential threat”: Nvidia CEO explains how the CUDA bet almost destroyed the company – and why he stuck with it anyway

April 6, 2026
in ESports
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CUDA was a “wager” that triggered Nvidia’s inventory market worth to plummet by an excellent 80 p.c. CEO Jensen Huang explains the way it happened – and why he caught to the technique anyway.Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang just lately spoke at size concerning the historical past of his firm in a podcast. Specifically, the CUDA platform launched in 2006 was mentioned, which in response to Huang virtually ruined Nvidia:That [CUDA] was the primary strategic determination that got here closest to an existential menace.Step one over 20 years agoThe technical basis for CUDA was laid again in 2003, when Nvidia constructed IEEE-compatible 32-bit floating level calculations – also called FP32 – into its shader items.This meant that scientific code that was truly designed for CPUs might, in precept, additionally run on an Nvidia GPU.Researchers already knew tips on how to benefit from this on the time, so CUDA (“Compute Unified Area Structure”) adopted as a logical step within the context of a fully-fledged structure.A call that halved Nvidia’s inventory market valueHowever, the concept of this expertise was not the true drama, however the business implementation.Huang made the momentous determination to convey CUDA not solely to costly workstation GPUs, however to each single Geforce card. Even the most affordable gaming GPUs from Nvidia assist CUDA.Pure PC avid gamers didn’t know what to do with it, so it was onerous to persuade them to pay a premium for an structure that was moderately unimportant for his or her favourite passion. Nevertheless, the manufacturing prices of a GPU elevated for the implementation of CUDA.CUDA elevated our prices by round 50 p.c, and on the time we had been an organization with a gross margin of round 35 p.c. Our margin dropped by about one and a half {dollars} per chip.The consequence on the inventory market was brutal: Nvidia’s market capitalization fell from round eight billion to simply below 1.5 billion US {dollars} after the CUDA launch – downright ridiculous figures in comparison with immediately’s inventory market worth.The “CUDA wager” paid offNvidia’s CEO nonetheless felt it was important to convey CUDA to prospects through Geforce graphics playing cards: If CUDA was to have an opportunity as a brand new computing structure, it needed to find yourself within the fingers of as many individuals as attainable.In Huang’s eyes, the precept behind this technique is rapidly defined: “The set up base defines an structure. […] Every thing else is secondary”.It took a number of years for the tide to show. In 2012, the neural community “AlexNet” beat all rivals by greater than ten proportion factors within the ImageNet competitors.The underlying {hardware}? Nvidia graphics playing cards with CUDA – and immediately everybody was speaking concerning the structure.Background:1 / 4 of a century in the past, a scholar linked 32 Geforce graphics playing cards to play Quake 3. That is how CUDA was bornLooking again, Huang believes that Nvidia’s success relies on Geforce; in any case, it was these graphics playing cards that introduced CUDA “to everybody”.Not less than the present market state of affairs proves him proper, as CUDA is by far the dominant platform for AI coaching and inference – and is not the face of a self-destructive Nvidia wager, however some of the helpful tech firms of our time.



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Tags: ArticlebetCEOCompanyCUDADestroyedexistentialExplainsHardwareNewsNvidiaStuckthreat
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